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AAMC Center for Workforce Studies

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Current evidence suggests that the United States is headed toward an aggregate shortage of physicians.


Given the extended time required to increase U.S. medical school capacity, and to educate and train physicians, the nation must begin now to increase medical school and GME capacity to meet the needs of the nation in 2015 and beyond.

In addition, a vigorous effort should be undertaken to determine, among other factors, how people use physicians' services over time, the impact of changes in the composition of the physician workforce, and how physician productivity changes over the course of a career. The AAMC Center for Workforce Studies was created to assist in this effort.

AAMC Workforce Position

Fixing the Doctor Shortage

AAMC Statement on the Physician Workforce (PDF)
Concerned that future demand for physicians will outstrip supply, the AAMC supports a 30 percent increase in U.S. medical school enrollment by 2015.

Questions and Answers About the AAMC's Physician Workforce Position (PDF)

Help Wanted: More U.S. Doctors

Press Kit: Physician Workforce

How to Fix The Doctor Shortage
In this Wall Street Journal op-ed article, AAMC President and CEO Darrell G. Kirch, M.D., calls on Congress to lift the freeze on support for medical training, as part of health care reform.

Doctor Shortage Ahead
AAMC Chief Advocacy Officer Atul Grover, M.D., Ph.D., remarks in this WUSA-9 story that the Senate health bill contains no language to increase the number of physicians.

The Physician Shortage and Health Care Reform (PDF)
The solution to the physician shortage lies in increasing efficiency, making better use of all health care professionals, and developing new models of care.

Expanding Residency Training
The Resident Physician Shortage Reduction Act of 2009 (H.R. 2251) would strengthen our health care infrastructure by expanding the number of Medicare-supported physician training positions.

Featured Publications and Initiatives

2009 State Physician Workforce Data Book (PDF)
This updated report examines the active physician supply in each state, as well as current medical school enrollment and physicians in graduate medical education (GME) programs. The report includes tables with the actual numbers that are presented visually in maps and bar charts.

Recent Studies and Reports on Physician Shortages in the U.S. (PDF)
A growing number of studies examining the U.S. physician workforce have concluded that we are facing current or future shortages. This 2009 report provides a summary of these studies, highlighting major conclusions.

The Complexities of Physician Supply and Demand: Projections Through 2025
Using the most recently available data, this 2008 report projects future supply and demand for physicians and concludes that a national shortage is likely.

2008 Physician Specialty Data (PDF)
This updated report provides comparative data on active physicians and physicians-in-training in specialties with more than 2,500 active physicians. It includes data on type of education and location, age, and gender by specialty as well as trends over time in the number in training and practicing in each specialty. The report includes figures and tables and will be published biennially.

2007 State Physician Workforce Data Book (PDF)
This report examines the active physician supply in each state, as well as current medical school enrollment and physicians in graduate medical education (GME) programs. The report includes tables with the actual numbers that are presented visually in the figures.

Medical School Enrollment Plans Through 2013: Analysis of the 2008 AAMC Survey (PDF)
This 2009 report estimates that first-year U.S. M.D. enrollment will grow to 19,946 in 2013, a growth of 21 percent from the 16,488 in 2002.

Academic Medicine Last Page: Geriatric Workforce
These data charts show that over the coming decades, the demand for geriatricians will increase while supply will not. (Academic Medicine, May 2009)

The State of the Physician Workforce: With Medical School Expansion Underway, What's Next? (PDF)
Presented by Edward Salsberg at the 2008 AAMC annual meeting, this address reviews trends and developments impacting the physician workforce.

The Upcoming Doctor Shortage
On Feb. 7, 2008, Edward Salsberg was a guest on the Kojo Nnamdi Show on WAMU 88.5 FM, to discuss physician workforce issues in Maryland.

 

We're getting older.

Baseline Physician FTE Supply and Demand Projections, 2006-2025

Meetings

Physician Workforce Conference

AAMC Annual Meeting

 

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